WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Stadion Z’dežele

Celje

29th · 1 pts

0–3FULL TIME

Omonia Nicosia

11th · 6 pts

45% Celje

24% Draw

31% Omonia

OUR PICK

Celje to win

Model probability 45% · fair odds

2.20

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.33

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.20X4.1823.27

Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25

Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.25

Over 1.5

80%

Over/Under 2.5@1.73

Over 2.5

58%

Both teams to score@1.67

60%

Double chance@1.31

76%

Season stats

CeljeOmonia Nicosia

0.7Goals per game1.7

2.3Conceded per game1.3

0.33Points per game2.00

0%Win rate67%

-5Goal difference1

1Form, last 5 (pts)6

Celje form

WDWDD

H Nafta4–0

A Olimpija Ljubljana1–1

A Korotan Prevalje0–2

H Red Bull Salzburg2–2

A Maribor0–0

Omonia Nicosia form

WLLDW

H AEL2–0

A AEK Larnaca2–0

H Benfica1–4

H Olympiakos2–2

A Celje0–3

Head to head

Celje

Draw

Omonia

Oct 2026Celje – Omonia Nicosia0–3

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Benfica3+89

2Bayer Leverkusen3+89

3Bournemouth3+79

4Ferencvarosi TC3+69

5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39

6Union St. Gilloise3+77

7Juventus3+67

8Beşiktaş3+47

9Sunderland3+27

10AZ Alkmaar3+46

Match preview

Our model makes Celje slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.67 for Celje, 1.33 for Omonia Nicosia), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Celje sit 29th on 1 points; Omonia Nicosia are 11th on 6.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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