Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ITASerie B · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Catanzaro
20th · 6 pts1–1FULL TIME
Padova
7th · 14 pts30% Catanzaro
26% Draw
44% Padova
OUR PICK
Padova to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.15 – 1.44
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.32X3.8322.29
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
CatanzaroPadova1.1Goals per game1.0
2.2Conceded per game1.1
0.60Points per game1.40
10%Win rate40%
-11Goal difference-1
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Catanzaro form
No recent matches.
Padova form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Catanzaro
0
Draw
0
Padova
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo9+1023
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli9+1018
4Mantova10+418
5Pisa9+515
6Benevento10+415
7Padova10-114
8Sudtirol10+114
9Hellas Verona9+312
10Avellino9+312
Match preview
Our model makes Padova slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.15 for Catanzaro, 1.44 for Padova), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points; Padova are 7th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.