Over 1.5 goals@1.62
Over 1.5
62%
ITASerie B · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
Catanzaro
20th · 6 pts1–6FULL TIME
Ascoli
3rd · 19 pts23% Catanzaro
29% Draw
49% Ascoli
OUR PICK
Ascoli to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
0.79 – 1.30
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.41X3.4822.06
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.29
X2
77%
Season stats
CatanzaroAscoli1.1Goals per game1.6
2.2Conceded per game0.6
0.60Points per game1.90
10%Win rate50%
-11Goal difference10
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
Catanzaro form
DDLDLH Padova1–1
A Benevento1–1
H Ascoli1–6
A Hellas Verona2–2
H Mantova1–3
Ascoli form
DWWDDA Arezzo0–0
H Sampdoria2–0
A Catanzaro1–6
H Empoli1–1
A Sudtirol0–0
Head to head
0
Catanzaro
0
Draw
0
Ascoli
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Ascoli slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.79 for Catanzaro, 1.30 for Ascoli), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Catanzaro sit 20th on 6 points; Ascoli are 3rd on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.