Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 13Friday, 6 November 2026 · Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Castellón
1st · 27 pts20:30KICK-OFF WAT
Eibar
3rd · 23 pts63% Castellón
23% Draw
15% Eibar
OUR PICK
Castellón to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
1.77 – 0.71
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.59X4.4026.89
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
CastellónEibar1.9Goals per game1.8
0.4Conceded per game1.2
2.25Points per game1.92
67%Win rate58%
18Goal difference7
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Castellón form
DWWWLA Burgos1–1
A Conquense0–3
H Sporting Gijon4–0
A Las Palmas0–3
A FC Andorra1–0
Eibar form
DLDLWH Almeria1–1
A Cordoba2–0
H Mallorca1–1
A Oviedo3–1
A Albacete1–3
Head to head
2
Castellón
1
Draw
1
Eibar
May 2026Castellón – Eibar2–1
Oct 2025Eibar – Castellón0–0
Feb 2025Castellón – Eibar2–0
Aug 2024Eibar – Castellón1–0
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Castellón clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.77 for Castellón, 0.71 for Eibar), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Castellón sit 1st on 27 points; Eibar are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.