Over 1.5 goals@1.96
Over 1.5
51%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 32Thursday, 29 October 2026 · National Sports Stadium
CAPS United
5th · 51 pts0–1FULL TIME
Scotland Mabvuku
2nd · 64 pts19% CAPS
32% Draw
48% Scotland
OUR PICK
Scotland Mabvuku to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
0.59 – 1.12
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.17X3.1122.06
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG3.14NG1.43
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.43
NG
70%
Double chance@1.24
X2
81%
Season stats
CAPS UnitedScotland Mabvuku1.1Goals per game1.5
0.8Conceded per game0.4
1.59Points per game2.06
41%Win rate58%
10Goal difference35
8Form, last 5 (pts)10
CAPS United form
LWDWDH Scotland Mabvuku0–1
A Platinum0–2
H Simba Bhora0–0
A MWOS0–1
H Dynamos1–1
Scotland Mabvuku form
WLWLWA CAPS United0–1
A Petro de Luanda3–0
H Petro de Luanda2–0
A Kariba1–0
H Agama3–0
Head to head
1
CAPS
0
Draw
3
Scotland
Oct 2026CAPS United – Scotland Mabvuku0–1
May 2026Scotland Mabvuku – CAPS United2–0
Jul 2025Scotland Mabvuku – CAPS United0–1
Mar 2025CAPS United – Scotland Mabvuku0–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Scotland Mabvuku slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.59 for CAPS United, 1.12 for Scotland Mabvuku), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
CAPS United sit 5th on 51 points; Scotland Mabvuku are 2nd on 64.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.