Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Abbey Stadium
Cambridge United
8th · 21 pts2–3FULL TIME
Plymouth
5th · 23 pts44% Cambridge
25% Draw
30% Plymouth
OUR PICK
Cambridge United to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.25X3.9723.30
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.81NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.81
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Cambridge UnitedPlymouth1.5Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.50Points per game1.64
36%Win rate50%
0Goal difference2
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Cambridge United form
LDLDWA Leyton Orient3–0
A Sheffield Wednesday1–1
H Plymouth2–3
H Wycombe2–2
A Barnsley1–2
Plymouth form
DWLLWH Reading0–0
A Cambridge United2–3
A Stevenage3–0
H Huddersfield0–2
H AFC Wimbledon2–1
Head to head
1
Cambridge
2
Draw
2
Plymouth
Oct 2026Cambridge United – Plymouth2–3
Apr 2023Plymouth – Cambridge United3–1
Dec 2022Cambridge United – Plymouth0–0
Feb 2022Cambridge United – Plymouth2–0
Aug 2021Plymouth – Cambridge United1–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Cambridge United slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.53 for Cambridge United, 1.22 for Plymouth), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cambridge United sit 8th on 21 points; Plymouth are 5th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.