Over 1.5 goals@1.07
Over 1.5
93%
WALPremier League · Matchday 16Friday, 6 November 2026
Cambrian & Clydach
9th · 18 pts20:45KICK-OFF WAT
Barry Town
6th · 28 pts27% Cambrian
19% Draw
54% Barry
OUR PICK
Barry Town to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.84
Expected goals
1.81 – 2.57
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.71X5.3521.84
Goals 2.5Over1.23Under4.97
Both scoreGG1.29NG4.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.23
Over 2.5
81%
Both teams to score@1.29
GG
77%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Cambrian & ClydachBarry Town1.5Goals per game2.1
2.5Conceded per game1.7
1.20Points per game1.87
33%Win rate60%
-15Goal difference6
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Cambrian & Clydach form
LLWLLA Colwyn Bay2–0
H Airbus UK2–3
H Trethomas Bluebirds5–0
H Ammanford AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
Barry Town form
WLWLWH Trefelin3–0
H Haverfordwest County AFC1–3
H Tredegar Town2–0
A Penybont3–1
A Caernarfon Town0–1
Head to head
0
Cambrian
0
Draw
5
Barry
Jul 2026Barry Town – Cambrian & Clydach2–1
Dec 2025Cambrian & Clydach – Barry Town0–3
Feb 2023Barry Town – Cambrian & Clydach4–2
Nov 2022Cambrian & Clydach – Barry Town1–2
Mar 2019Barry Town – Cambrian & Clydach3–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes Barry Town slight favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.84 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.4 goals in total (1.81 for Cambrian & Clydach, 2.57 for Barry Town), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cambrian & Clydach sit 9th on 18 points; Barry Town are 6th on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.