Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
WALPremier League · Matchday 13Friday, 9 October 2026
Cambrian & Clydach
9th · 18 pts0–1FULL TIME
Ammanford AFC
14th · 9 pts75% Cambrian
14% Draw
11% Ammanford
OUR PICK
Cambrian & Clydach to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.34
Expected goals
3.00 – 1.13
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.34X7.1428.87
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
Cambrian & ClydachAmmanford AFC1.5Goals per game0.7
2.5Conceded per game2.8
1.20Points per game0.60
33%Win rate13%
-15Goal difference-32
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Cambrian & Clydach form
LLWLLA Colwyn Bay2–0
H Airbus UK2–3
H Trethomas Bluebirds5–0
H Ammanford AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
Ammanford AFC form
LLWWWH Haverfordwest County AFC0–1
A The New Saints9–0
A FC Cwmaman2–4
A Cambrian & Clydach0–1
H Holywell2–1
Head to head
1
Cambrian
2
Draw
2
Ammanford
Oct 2026Cambrian & Clydach – Ammanford AFC0–1
Mar 2026Ammanford AFC – Cambrian & Clydach0–0
Nov 2025Cambrian & Clydach – Ammanford AFC1–1
Jan 2025Ammanford AFC – Cambrian & Clydach1–0
Oct 2024Cambrian & Clydach – Ammanford AFC3–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1The New Saints15+4741
2GAP Connah S Quay FC15+2335
3Penybont14+1933
4Caernarfon Town15+2329
5Colwyn Bay15+929
6Barry Town15+628
7Airbus UK15+927
8Cardiff MET15+322
9Cambrian & Clydach15-1518
10Llandudno15-616
Match preview
Our model makes Cambrian & Clydach clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.00 for Cambrian & Clydach, 1.13 for Ammanford AFC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cambrian & Clydach sit 9th on 18 points; Ammanford AFC are 14th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.