Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 8Saturday, 3 October 2026 · JP Financial Estadio
Cadiz
19th · 10 pts4–0FULL TIME
Leganes
17th · 12 pts44% Cadiz
28% Draw
28% Leganes
OUR PICK
Cadiz to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.29 – 0.96
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.27X3.5423.61
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.64
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.64
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.38
1X
72%
Season stats
CadizLeganes1.3Goals per game0.8
1.3Conceded per game1.7
0.83Points per game1.00
17%Win rate25%
-1Goal difference-10
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Cadiz form
LWWLLA Mallorca2–1
A Xerez1–3
H AD Ceuta FC3–1
A Granada CF2–0
H Sporting Gijon0–1
Leganes form
LDLLLA Valladolid4–3
H Mallorca1–1
H Cordoba0–1
A Almeria3–0
A Cadiz4–0
Head to head
2
Cadiz
1
Draw
0
Leganes
Oct 2026Cadiz – Leganes4–0
May 2026Cadiz – Leganes3–0
Aug 2025Leganes – Cadiz1–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón12+1827
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Granada CF12+623
5Mallorca12+822
6Sporting Gijon12022
7Girona12+1121
8Burgos12+421
9Oviedo12+218
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Cadiz slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.29 for Cadiz, 0.96 for Leganes), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Cadiz sit 19th on 10 points; Leganes are 17th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.