Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
72%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
15th · 17 pts2–1FULL TIME
Leyton Orient
14th · 17 pts30% Burton
27% Draw
44% Leyton
OUR PICK
Leyton Orient to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.41
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.37X3.7722.28
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.97
GG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Burton AlbionLeyton Orient1.3Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.21Points per game1.31
29%Win rate38%
-3Goal difference5
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Burton Albion form
LWDDLA Wycombe2–0
H Leyton Orient2–1
H Bradford0–0
A Peterborough2–2
A Doncaster1–0
Leyton Orient form
WLLWDH Cambridge United3–0
A Burton Albion2–1
A Reading1–0
H Blackpool2–0
A Bradford0–0
Head to head
2
Burton
2
Draw
1
Leyton
Oct 2026Burton Albion – Leyton Orient2–1
May 2026Leyton Orient – Burton Albion2–2
Nov 2025Burton Albion – Leyton Orient0–4
Apr 2025Burton Albion – Leyton Orient2–1
Dec 2024Leyton Orient – Burton Albion0–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Leyton Orient slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.11 for Burton Albion, 1.41 for Leyton Orient), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Burton Albion sit 15th on 17 points; Leyton Orient are 14th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.