Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 9Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
15th · 17 pts1–3FULL TIME
Huddersfield
1st · 28 pts24% Burton
25% Draw
51% Huddersfield
OUR PICK
Huddersfield to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.63
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.18X4.0521.95
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
Burton AlbionHuddersfield1.3Goals per game2.1
1.5Conceded per game0.8
1.21Points per game2.15
29%Win rate62%
-3Goal difference16
5Form, last 5 (pts)13
Burton Albion form
LWDDLA Wycombe2–0
H Leyton Orient2–1
H Bradford0–0
A Peterborough2–2
A Doncaster1–0
Huddersfield form
WWWWDA Bradford0–3
H Wigan2–1
H Peterborough4–1
A Plymouth0–2
H Sheffield Wednesday2–2
Head to head
2
Burton
2
Draw
1
Huddersfield
Oct 2026Burton Albion – Huddersfield1–3
Jan 2026Burton Albion – Huddersfield3–1
Sept 2025Huddersfield – Burton Albion0–0
Apr 2025Burton Albion – Huddersfield3–0
Dec 2024Huddersfield – Burton Albion1–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Huddersfield slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.03 for Burton Albion, 1.63 for Huddersfield), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Burton Albion sit 15th on 17 points; Huddersfield are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.