Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
62%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 31Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Luveve Stadium
Bulawayo Chiefs
13th · 34 pts0–2FULL TIME
Ngezi Platinum
3rd · 56 pts26% Bulawayo
29% Draw
44% Ngezi
OUR PICK
Ngezi Platinum to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
0.86 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.84X3.3922.25
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.53
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.69
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.53
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.69
NG
59%
Double chance@1.35
X2
74%
Season stats
Bulawayo ChiefsNgezi Platinum0.8Goals per game1.2
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.06Points per game1.75
25%Win rate44%
-11Goal difference13
3Form, last 5 (pts)9
Bulawayo Chiefs form
WLLLLA Manica Diamonds0–1
H Ngezi Platinum0–2
A Hardrock2–0
H Triangle United1–2
A Herentals2–1
Ngezi Platinum form
DWWDDH Dynamos1–1
A Bulawayo Chiefs0–2
H Highlanders1–0
A TelOne2–2
H Hunters0–0
Head to head
0
Bulawayo
1
Draw
4
Ngezi
Oct 2026Bulawayo Chiefs – Ngezi Platinum0–2
May 2026Ngezi Platinum – Bulawayo Chiefs4–2
Sept 2024Bulawayo Chiefs – Ngezi Platinum1–1
May 2024Ngezi Platinum – Bulawayo Chiefs1–0
Aug 2023Ngezi Platinum – Bulawayo Chiefs1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Ngezi Platinum slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (0.86 for Bulawayo Chiefs, 1.22 for Ngezi Platinum), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bulawayo Chiefs sit 13th on 34 points; Ngezi Platinum are 3rd on 56.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.