Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Bukovyna Stadium
Bukovyna
11th · 9 pts2–2FULL TIME
Polessya
2nd · 25 pts12% Bukovyna
23% Draw
64% Polessya
OUR PICK
Polessya to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.56
Expected goals
0.58 – 1.68
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.05X4.2821.56
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.56
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.56
NG
64%
Double chance@1.14
X2
88%
Season stats
BukovynaPolessya0.7Goals per game2.3
1.2Conceded per game0.8
0.90Points per game2.50
10%Win rate80%
-5Goal difference15
2Form, last 5 (pts)13
Bukovyna form
WDLDDA Livyi Bereh0–1
H Kryvbas KR0–0
A Kudrivka4–1
H Polessya2–2
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0–0
Polessya form
WWWDH Novyi Rozdil2–0
H Obolon'-Brovar3–0
H Dynamo Kyiv3–1
A Bukovyna2–2
Head to head
0
Bukovyna
3
Draw
2
Polessya
Oct 2026Bukovyna – Polessya2–2
Mar 2025Polessya – Bukovyna0–0
Nov 2022Bukovyna – Polessya1–2
Sept 2022Polessya – Bukovyna2–0
Oct 2019Polessya – Bukovyna2–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Polessya clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.58 for Bukovyna, 1.68 for Polessya), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bukovyna sit 11th on 9 points; Polessya are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.