Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Bukovyna Stadium
Bukovyna
11th · 9 pts0–0FULL TIME
Kryvbas KR
15th · 6 pts45% Bukovyna
27% Draw
28% Kryvbas
OUR PICK
Bukovyna to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.24
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.03
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.24X3.6823.54
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
BukovynaKryvbas KR0.7Goals per game0.9
1.2Conceded per game1.6
0.90Points per game0.75
10%Win rate13%
-5Goal difference-6
2Form, last 5 (pts)2
Bukovyna form
WDLDDA Livyi Bereh0–1
H Kryvbas KR0–0
A Kudrivka4–1
H Polessya2–2
H Epitsentr Dunayivtsi0–0
Kryvbas KR form
DDLLLA Zorya Luhansk1–1
A Bukovyna0–0
H LNZ Cherkasy0–3
A Obolon'-Brovar1–0
A Shakhtar Donetsk3–0
Head to head
0
Bukovyna
1
Draw
2
Kryvbas
Oct 2026Bukovyna – Kryvbas KR0–0
Jun 2015Hirnyk – Bukovyna1–0
Nov 2014Bukovyna – Hirnyk0–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Bukovyna slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.24 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.37 for Bukovyna, 1.03 for Kryvbas KR), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bukovyna sit 11th on 9 points; Kryvbas KR are 15th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.