Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
HUNNB I · Matchday 9Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Bozsik Arena
Budapest Honved
8th · 13 pts1–1FULL TIME
Ujpest
5th · 18 pts36% Budapest
24% Draw
39% Ujpest
OUR PICK
Ujpest to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.56
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X4.1622.53
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Budapest HonvedUjpest1.3Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game1.4
1.18Points per game1.50
27%Win rate42%
-3Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Budapest Honved form
WLLWDH Kisvarda FC1–0
A Gyirmot SE3–1
H Debreceni VSC0–2
A Nyiregyhaza0–1
H Ujpest1–1
Ujpest form
WWLLDH Nyiregyhaza2–1
A Szeged 20111–3
A Gyori ETO FC1–0
H Puskas Academy0–1
A Budapest Honved1–1
Head to head
1
Budapest
2
Draw
2
Ujpest
Oct 2026Budapest Honved – Ujpest1–1
Apr 2023Budapest Honved – Ujpest0–1
Jan 2023Ujpest – Budapest Honved2–1
Sept 2022Budapest Honved – Ujpest0–0
Mar 2022Ujpest – Budapest Honved0–2
NB I table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Gyori ETO FC12+722
2Puskas Academy12+221
3Ferencvarosi TC11+1020
4Debreceni VSC12+419
5Ujpest12+318
6Paks12+117
7Vasas12+316
8Budapest Honved11-313
9Zalaegerszegi TE12-613
10Kisvarda FC12-212
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Budapest Honved 36%, the draw 24%, Ujpest 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.49 for Budapest Honved, 1.56 for Ujpest), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Budapest Honved sit 8th on 13 points; Ujpest are 5th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.