Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SOUK League 1 · Matchday 33Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Bucheon Stadium
Bucheon FC 1995
11th · 32 pts0–3FULL TIME
Gwangju FC
12th · 21 pts62% Bucheon
22% Draw
17% Gwangju
OUR PICK
Bucheon FC 1995 to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.89 – 0.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.62X4.5726.05
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.96
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.96
NG
51%
Double chance@1.20
1X
83%
Season stats
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC1.0Goals per game0.9
1.4Conceded per game2.1
0.97Points per game0.64
21%Win rate9%
-15Goal difference-39
1Form, last 5 (pts)8
Bucheon FC 1995 form
LLLLLA FC Anyang2–1
H Gwangju FC0–3
A Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1
A Gangwon FC2–0
H Gimcheon Sangmu FC0–2
Gwangju FC form
DWLWDH Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1
A Bucheon FC 19950–3
A Daejeon Citizen3–2
H Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3
A Jeonbuk Motors2–2
Head to head
1
Bucheon
1
Draw
3
Gwangju
Oct 2026Bucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC0–3
Aug 2026Bucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC0–0
Apr 2026Gwangju FC – Bucheon FC 19950–1
Aug 2025Bucheon FC 1995 – Gwangju FC1–2
Aug 2025Gwangju FC – Bucheon FC 19952–0
K League 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Seoul33+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC33+551
3Daejeon Citizen33+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors33+1048
5Gangwon FC33+1048
6Incheon United33+846
7Jeju United FC33+246
8FC Anyang33-843
9Pohang Steelers33-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC33-834
Match preview
Our model makes Bucheon FC 1995 clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.89 for Bucheon FC 1995, 0.86 for Gwangju FC), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bucheon FC 1995 sit 11th on 32 points; Gwangju FC are 12th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.