Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 5Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Américo Montanini
Bucaramanga
13th · 23 pts2–1FULL TIME
Deportivo Pasto
3rd · 34 pts45% Bucaramanga
26% Draw
30% Deportivo
OUR PICK
Bucaramanga to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.23X3.8923.39
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
BucaramangaDeportivo Pasto1.4Goals per game1.5
1.1Conceded per game1.3
1.21Points per game1.79
26%Win rate53%
6Goal difference4
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
Bucaramanga form
No recent matches.
Deportivo Pasto form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Bucaramanga
0
Draw
0
Deportivo
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Bucaramanga slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.49 for Bucaramanga, 1.16 for Deportivo Pasto), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bucaramanga sit 13th on 23 points; Deportivo Pasto are 3rd on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.