Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
69%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Bucaramanga
13th · 23 pts02:15KICK-OFF WAT
Atletico Nacional
1st · 40 pts29% Bucaramanga
27% Draw
44% Atletico
OUR PICK
Atletico Nacional to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.30
Expected goals
1.04 – 1.34
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.45X3.6522.30
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.74
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.74
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.38
12
73%
Season stats
BucaramangaAtletico Nacional1.4Goals per game1.8
1.1Conceded per game0.8
1.21Points per game2.11
26%Win rate68%
6Goal difference20
5Form, last 5 (pts)12
Bucaramanga form
WLLDDH Deportivo Pasto2–1
A Santa Fe2–1
A Chico1–0
H America de Cali1–1
H Águilas Doradas1–1
Atletico Nacional form
WWWLWH Santa Fe2–0
H Independiente Medellin2–1
H Deportivo Pasto3–0
A Cucuta1–0
A Chico1–4
Head to head
0
Bucaramanga
0
Draw
0
Atletico
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico Nacional slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.04 for Bucaramanga, 1.34 for Atletico Nacional), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bucaramanga sit 13th on 23 points; Atletico Nacional are 1st on 40.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.