Over 1.5 goals@1.63
Over 1.5
61%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 15Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Estadio Américo Montanini
Bucaramanga
13th · 23 pts1–1FULL TIME
America de Cali
4th · 33 pts36% Bucaramanga
30% Draw
34% America
OUR PICK
Bucaramanga to win
Model probability 36% · fair odds
2.80
Expected goals
1.05 – 1.02
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.80X3.3122.93
Goals 2.5Over2.77Under1.52
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.71
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.52
Under 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.71
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
BucaramangaAmerica de Cali1.4Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game0.8
1.21Points per game1.74
26%Win rate53%
6Goal difference10
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Bucaramanga form
DWLLDH Atletico Nacional1–1
H Deportivo Pasto2–1
A Santa Fe2–1
A Chico1–0
H America de Cali1–1
America de Cali form
WWWDLH Fortaleza FC2–1
H Cucuta3–1
A Barranquilla0–4
A Bucaramanga1–1
H Independiente Medellin1–2
Head to head
0
Bucaramanga
2
Draw
3
America
Oct 2026Bucaramanga – America de Cali1–1
Apr 2026America de Cali – Bucaramanga2–0
Mar 2026America de Cali – Bucaramanga2–1
Sept 2025America de Cali – Bucaramanga0–0
Sept 2025America de Cali – Bucaramanga2–0
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bucaramanga 36%, the draw 30%, America de Cali 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.05 for Bucaramanga, 1.02 for America de Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bucaramanga sit 13th on 23 points; America de Cali are 4th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.