Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 26Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Bryne Stadion
Bryne
6th · 43 pts1–1FULL TIME
Raufoss
16th · 20 pts72% Bryne
17% Draw
11% Raufoss
OUR PICK
Bryne to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.41 – 0.82
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X6.0029.18
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
BryneRaufoss1.5Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game2.7
1.48Points per game0.69
45%Win rate21%
2Goal difference-47
5Form, last 5 (pts)1
Bryne form
WLDLDA hodd0–3
A Egersund1–0
H Egersund3–3
A Ranheim4–2
H Raufoss1–1
Raufoss form
LLLLDA Lyn4–0
H Ranheim1–3
A Sogndal2–1
A hodd5–1
A Bryne1–1
Head to head
3
Bryne
1
Draw
1
Raufoss
Oct 2026Bryne – Raufoss1–1
May 2026Raufoss – Bryne3–0
Oct 2024Bryne – Raufoss1–0
Apr 2024Raufoss – Bryne0–1
Nov 2023Raufoss – Bryne0–1
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Bryne clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.41 for Bryne, 0.82 for Raufoss), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bryne sit 6th on 43 points; Raufoss are 16th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.