Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
NOR1. Division · Matchday 24Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Bryne Stadion
Bryne
6th · 43 pts1–0FULL TIME
Lyn
11th · 34 pts53% Bryne
23% Draw
24% Lyn
OUR PICK
Bryne to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.88
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.19
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.88X4.4324.14
Goals 2.5Over1.70Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.70
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
BryneLyn1.5Goals per game1.6
1.4Conceded per game2.0
1.48Points per game1.17
45%Win rate34%
2Goal difference-13
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Bryne form
WLDLDA hodd0–3
A Egersund1–0
H Egersund3–3
A Ranheim4–2
H Raufoss1–1
Lyn form
WWLWLH Raufoss4–0
A Tromsdalen Uil1–3
A Sandnes ULF2–1
H Moss1–0
A Haugesund3–0
Head to head
3
Bryne
1
Draw
1
Lyn
Oct 2026Bryne – Lyn1–0
Jun 2026Lyn – Bryne0–3
Feb 2026Bryne – Lyn3–3
Oct 2024Lyn – Bryne1–0
Jun 2024Bryne – Lyn5–3
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund29+3665
2Stromsgodset29+4563
3Kongsvinger29+3659
4Stabaek29+3358
5ODD Ballklubb29+1146
6Bryne29+243
7Ranheim29+441
8Egersund29-938
9hodd29-1038
10Strommen29-1236
Match preview
Our model makes Bryne slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.88 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.87 for Bryne, 1.19 for Lyn), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bryne sit 6th on 43 points; Lyn are 11th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.