Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 3 October 2026 · Maimonides Park
Brooklyn
12th · 21 pts1–3FULL TIME
Rhode Island
7th · 42 pts24% Brooklyn
24% Draw
53% Rhode
OUR PICK
Rhode Island to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.75
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.24X4.2421.89
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
BrooklynRhode Island1.1Goals per game1.4
2.1Conceded per game1.1
0.70Points per game1.40
17%Win rate40%
-29Goal difference9
3Form, last 5 (pts)4
Brooklyn form
LLWLLA Loudoun United4–3
H Birmingham Legion1–2
A Hartford Athletic2–3
H Rhode Island1–3
H Detroit City1–3
Rhode Island form
DLDWLA Charleston Battery1–1
A Hartford Athletic2–1
H Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–1
H Loudoun United1–0
A Detroit City1–0
Head to head
0
Brooklyn
1
Draw
2
Rhode
Oct 2026Brooklyn – Rhode Island1–3
Jul 2026Rhode Island – Brooklyn1–1
May 2026Rhode Island – Brooklyn4–1
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Rhode Island slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.09 for Brooklyn, 1.75 for Rhode Island), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brooklyn sit 12th on 21 points; Rhode Island are 7th on 42.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.