Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageWednesday, 21 October 2026 · Maimonides Park
Brooklyn
12th · 21 pts1–2FULL TIME
Birmingham Legion
11th · 30 pts33% Brooklyn
23% Draw
44% Birmingham
OUR PICK
Birmingham Legion to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.74
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.06X4.3122.27
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
BrooklynBirmingham Legion1.1Goals per game1.3
2.1Conceded per game1.5
0.70Points per game1.00
17%Win rate20%
-29Goal difference-6
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Brooklyn form
LLWLLA Loudoun United4–3
H Birmingham Legion1–2
A Hartford Athletic2–3
H Rhode Island1–3
H Detroit City1–3
Birmingham Legion form
LWDWLA Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
A Brooklyn1–2
H Loudoun United0–0
A Sporting JAX0–1
A Detroit City1–0
Head to head
0
Brooklyn
0
Draw
2
Birmingham
Oct 2026Brooklyn – Birmingham Legion1–2
Sept 2026Birmingham Legion – Brooklyn4–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Birmingham Legion slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.47 for Brooklyn, 1.74 for Birmingham Legion), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brooklyn sit 12th on 21 points; Birmingham Legion are 11th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.