Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Brøndby Stadion
Brondby
5th · 19 pts2–0FULL TIME
Aarhus
8th · 12 pts51% Brondby
22% Draw
27% Aarhus
OUR PICK
Brondby to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.95 – 1.37
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X4.5423.71
Goals 2.5Over1.55Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.55
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
BrondbyAarhus1.8Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.58Points per game1.00
50%Win rate17%
1Goal difference-2
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Brondby form
WWWLWH Aarhus2–0
A AB Copenhagen1–2
A Randers FC1–3
A Odense2–1
H Lyngby5–2
Aarhus form
LWWDDA Brondby2–0
A Roskilde1–2
H Viborg2–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1
A FC Copenhagen1–1
Head to head
1
Brondby
3
Draw
1
Aarhus
Nov 2026Brondby – Aarhus2–0
Jul 2026Aarhus – Brondby1–1
May 2026Brondby – Aarhus0–2
Mar 2026Aarhus – Brondby0–0
Oct 2025Brondby – Aarhus3–3
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4FC Nordsjaelland13+320
5Brondby12+119
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus12-212
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Brondby slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.95 for Brondby, 1.37 for Aarhus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brondby sit 5th on 19 points; Aarhus are 8th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.