Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 12Tuesday, 20 October 2026 · Hayes Lane
Bromley
24th · 9 pts0–4FULL TIME
Leicester
10th · 19 pts27% Bromley
21% Draw
51% Leicester
OUR PICK
Leicester to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.94
Expected goals
1.43 – 2.03
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.69X4.6521.94
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
BromleyLeicester1.0Goals per game1.7
2.5Conceded per game1.5
0.69Points per game1.46
15%Win rate38%
-20Goal difference3
1Form, last 5 (pts)10
Bromley form
LLDLLA Wigan3–2
A Milton Keynes Dons4–1
H Peterborough1–1
H Leicester0–4
A Stockport County1–0
Leicester form
DWLWWH Stevenage2–2
H Wigan3–0
A Luton2–1
A Bromley0–4
H Doncaster2–1
Head to head
0
Bromley
0
Draw
1
Leicester
Oct 2026Bromley – Leicester0–4
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Leicester slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.94 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.43 for Bromley, 2.03 for Leicester), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bromley sit 24th on 9 points; Leicester are 10th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.