Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 14Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City
14th · 18 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Wolves
3rd · 24 pts33% Bristol
26% Draw
41% Wolves
OUR PICK
Wolves to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.06X3.8122.43
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.90NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.90
GG
53%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Bristol CityWolves1.2Goals per game1.8
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.38Points per game1.85
38%Win rate54%
-2Goal difference7
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Bristol City form
WDLLDA Bolton2–3
A Stoke City0–0
H Sheffield Utd0–1
H Blackburn0–1
A Charlton1–1
Wolves form
WWDWLH Cardiff3–0
H Watford1–0
H Portsmouth1–1
A Burnley1–2
H Bolton1–3
Head to head
1
Bristol
1
Draw
3
Wolves
Jan 2025Bristol City – Wolves1–2
Feb 2019Bristol City – Wolves0–1
Dec 2017Bristol City – Wolves1–2
Sept 2017Wolves – Bristol City3–3
Apr 2017Bristol City – Wolves3–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bristol City 33%, the draw 26%, Wolves 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.21 for Bristol City, 1.39 for Wolves), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bristol City sit 14th on 18 points; Wolves are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.