Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
AUSA-League · Matchday 2Friday, 23 October 2026 · Suncorp Stadium
Brisbane Roar
4th · 4 pts2–1FULL TIME
Perth Glory
8th · 3 pts34% Brisbane
25% Draw
41% Perth
OUR PICK
Perth Glory to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.45
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.94X3.9822.45
Goals 2.5Over1.88Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.76NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.88
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.76
GG
57%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Brisbane RoarPerth Glory1.5Goals per game2.0
1.0Conceded per game1.3
2.00Points per game1.00
50%Win rate33%
1Goal difference2
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Brisbane Roar form
DWWLWH Auckland1–1
H Perth Glory2–1
A Olympic3–4
H Sydney2–4
A Sydney Olympic0–3
Perth Glory form
WLLLWH Adelaide United4–0
A Brisbane Roar2–1
A Macarthur2–1
H Adelaide United1–3
H Adelaide United2–0
Head to head
3
Brisbane
1
Draw
1
Perth
Oct 2026Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory2–1
Apr 2026Perth Glory – Brisbane Roar2–1
Feb 2026Brisbane Roar – Perth Glory1–1
Jan 2026Perth Glory – Brisbane Roar1–2
Mar 2025Perth Glory – Brisbane Roar1–3
A-League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix3+69
2Western Sydney Wanderers3+35
3Macarthur3+15
4Brisbane Roar2+14
5Sydney304
6Auckland3-14
7Melbourne City3-14
8Perth Glory3+23
9Melbourne Victory3-12
10Central Coast Mariners3-22
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Brisbane Roar 34%, the draw 25%, Perth Glory 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.33 for Brisbane Roar, 1.48 for Perth Glory), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brisbane Roar sit 4th on 4 points; Perth Glory are 8th on 3.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.