Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Gtech Community Stadium
Brentford
6th · 14 pts2–0FULL TIME
Nottingham Forest
19th · 6 pts66% Brentford
22% Draw
12% Nottingham
OUR PICK
Brentford to win
Model probability 66% · fair odds
1.52
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.64
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.52X4.5928.03
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.80
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
BrentfordNottingham Forest1.8Goals per game0.7
1.0Conceded per game1.3
1.56Points per game0.67
33%Win rate11%
7Goal difference-6
8Form, last 5 (pts)1
Brentford form
No recent matches.
Nottingham Forest form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Brentford
0
Draw
0
Nottingham
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Manchester City9+1021
2Arsenal8+821
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool8+315
6Brentford9+714
7Bournemouth9+112
8Tottenham9012
9Aston Villa9-312
10Hull City9+111
Match preview
Our model makes Brentford clear favourites, giving them a 66% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.82 for Brentford, 0.64 for Nottingham Forest), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brentford sit 6th on 14 points; Nottingham Forest are 19th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.