Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 24Sunday, 18 October 2026
Brattvåg
4th · 51 pts1–4FULL TIME
Bjarg
2nd · 54 pts44% Brattvåg
22% Draw
34% Bjarg
OUR PICK
Brattvåg to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.66
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.28X4.5622.93
Goals 2.5Over1.45Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
BrattvågBjarg2.3Goals per game2.3
1.5Conceded per game1.2
1.96Points per game2.08
62%Win rate65%
20Goal difference29
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Brattvåg form
LWLWWH Træff4–5
A Mjondalen1–4
H Bjarg1–4
A Vidar1–3
H Sotra3–2
Bjarg form
DWWWWA Sandviken0–0
H jerv4–0
A Brattvåg1–4
H Notodden5–2
A Kvik Halden2–3
Head to head
1
Brattvåg
0
Draw
1
Bjarg
Oct 2026Brattvåg – Bjarg1–4
May 2026Bjarg – Brattvåg2–6
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Brattvåg slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.90 for Brattvåg, 1.66 for Bjarg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Brattvåg sit 4th on 51 points; Bjarg are 2nd on 54.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.