Over 1.5 goals@1.72
Over 1.5
58%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 10Monday, 26 October 2026 · Stade de la Libération
Boulogne
14th · 10 pts1–1FULL TIME
Reims
5th · 18 pts28% Boulogne
31% Draw
41% Reims
OUR PICK
Reims to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.43
Expected goals
0.85 – 1.10
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.58X3.2322.43
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.45
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.45
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.39
X2
72%
Season stats
BoulogneReims0.6Goals per game2.0
0.7Conceded per game1.2
0.91Points per game1.80
9%Win rate40%
-1Goal difference8
5Form, last 5 (pts)9
Boulogne form
No recent matches.
Reims form
DWDLDA Boulogne1–1
H Dijon4–2
A Nantes0–0
A Anderlecht3–0
H Montpellier1–1
Head to head
0
Boulogne
2
Draw
3
Reims
Oct 2026Boulogne – Reims1–1
Apr 2026Reims – Boulogne0–0
Oct 2025Boulogne – Reims2–6
Jul 2025Reims – Boulogne1–0
May 2012Reims – Boulogne3–2
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Reims slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (0.85 for Boulogne, 1.10 for Reims), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Boulogne sit 14th on 10 points; Reims are 5th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.