Over 1.5 goals@1.96
Over 1.5
51%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 12Friday, 6 November 2026
Boulogne
14th · 10 pts20:00KICK-OFF WAT
Annecy
7th · 16 pts38% Boulogne
34% Draw
28% Annecy
OUR PICK
Boulogne to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
0.94 – 0.77
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X2.9623.52
Goals 2.5Over3.77Under1.33
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.33
Under 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.40
1X
72%
Season stats
BoulogneAnnecy0.6Goals per game1.3
0.7Conceded per game1.4
0.91Points per game1.45
9%Win rate45%
-1Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Boulogne form
LDWDLA Laval1–0
H Reims1–1
A Grenoble0–2
A Sochaux1–1
A Le Havre6–1
Annecy form
LWLWWH Montpellier0–3
A Sochaux1–3
H Nancy1–2
A Dunkerque0–1
H Servette FC2–1
Head to head
0
Boulogne
2
Draw
3
Annecy
May 2026Boulogne – Annecy1–2
Oct 2025Annecy – Boulogne1–1
Feb 2022Boulogne – Annecy1–1
Aug 2021Annecy – Boulogne2–0
May 2021Annecy – Boulogne4–0
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Boulogne slight favourites, giving them a 38% chance of winning against 34% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.7 goals in total (0.94 for Boulogne, 0.77 for Annecy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Boulogne sit 14th on 10 points; Annecy are 7th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.