Over 1.5 goals@1.49
Over 1.5
67%
BRASerie B · Matchday 36Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Estadio Santa Cruz
Botafogo SP
12th · 48 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sport Recife
7th · 55 pts38% Botafogo
28% Draw
34% Sport
OUR PICK
Botafogo SP to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.63X3.5422.97
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.69
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.88
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.88
NG
53%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
Botafogo SPSport Recife1.1Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game1.1
1.33Points per game1.53
36%Win rate39%
2Goal difference9
13Form, last 5 (pts)8
Botafogo SP form
No recent matches.
Sport Recife form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Botafogo
0
Draw
0
Sport
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Juventude36+2265
2Novorizontino35+3264
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC35+1261
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense35+954
9Goias35-452
10Operario-PR35-151
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Botafogo SP 38%, the draw 28%, Sport Recife 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.20 for Botafogo SP, 1.11 for Sport Recife), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Botafogo SP sit 12th on 48 points; Sport Recife are 7th on 55.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.