Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
BRASerie B · Matchday 37Thursday, 5 November 2026 · Estadio Santa Cruz
Botafogo SP
12th · 48 pts23:30KICK-OFF WAT
Londrina
18th · 32 pts51% Botafogo
25% Draw
25% Londrina
OUR PICK
Botafogo SP to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.98
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.04
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.98X4.0224.08
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.32
1X
75%
Season stats
Botafogo SPLondrina1.1Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game1.5
1.33Points per game0.89
36%Win rate22%
2Goal difference-9
13Form, last 5 (pts)4
Botafogo SP form
DWWWWH Sport Recife1–1
A Avai0–2
A CRB0–1
H Ceara1–0
A Operario-PR1–2
Londrina form
LLWDLH America Mineiro1–3
A CRB2–1
H Cuiaba1–0
A Athletic Club2–2
A Avai2–1
Head to head
2
Botafogo
2
Draw
1
Londrina
Jul 2026Londrina – Botafogo SP0–0
Nov 2023Botafogo SP – Londrina0–1
Jul 2023Londrina – Botafogo SP1–2
Nov 2019Londrina – Botafogo SP1–1
Aug 2019Botafogo SP – Londrina2–1
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Novorizontino36+3367
2Juventude36+2265
3Vila Nova36+1463
4Criciuma36+862
5Fortaleza EC36+1262
6CRB35+455
7Sport Recife36+955
8Atletico Goianiense36+955
9Goias35-452
10São Bernardo36+1152
Match preview
Our model makes Botafogo SP slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.98 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.61 for Botafogo SP, 1.04 for Londrina), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Botafogo SP sit 12th on 48 points; Londrina are 18th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.