Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
URUPrimera División · Clausura - 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
Boston River
12th · 37 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
Atletico Torque
3rd · 60 pts26% Boston
25% Draw
49% Atletico
OUR PICK
Atletico Torque to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.60
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.82X4.0222.04
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Boston RiverAtletico Torque1.0Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game1.2
1.09Points per game1.76
29%Win rate53%
-12Goal difference17
7Form, last 5 (pts)7
Boston River form
No recent matches.
Atletico Torque form
WWWLLA Penarol0–2
H Cerro3–1
H Atletico-MG2–0
A Albion FC2–1
A Atletico-MG3–0
Head to head
0
Boston
0
Draw
0
Atletico
These sides haven't met recently.
Primera División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Penarol35+2465
2Deportivo Maldonado34+2262
3Atletico Torque34+1760
4Racing Montevideo35+1460
5Club Nacional34+1058
6Liverpool Montevideo34+1456
7Wanderers35-251
8Albion FC34+346
9Juventud34-441
10Central Espanol35-1341
Match preview
Our model makes Atletico Torque slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.10 for Boston River, 1.60 for Atletico Torque), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Boston River sit 12th on 37 points; Atletico Torque are 3rd on 60.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.