Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
92%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 6Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Borussia-Park
Borussia Mönchengladbach
18th · 4 pts1–2FULL TIME
1899 Hoffenheim
12th · 9 pts36% Borussia
20% Draw
43% 1899
OUR PICK
1899 Hoffenheim to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
1.98 – 2.16
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.74X4.9322.31
Goals 2.5Over1.28Under4.29
Both scoreGG1.31NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.28
Over 2.5
78%
Both teams to score@1.31
GG
76%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Borussia Mönchengladbach1899 Hoffenheim1.4Goals per game1.8
2.8Conceded per game2.0
0.50Points per game1.13
13%Win rate38%
-11Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
Borussia Mönchengladbach form
DWWLLH SC Paderborn 070–0
H Karlsruher SC2–0
A VfB Stuttgart2–3
H 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
A 1. FC Köln2–1
1899 Hoffenheim form
LDWWWA Werder Bremen2–0
A Holstein Kiel1–1
H Bayer Leverkusen3–0
H Lyon3–0
A Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2
Head to head
2
Borussia
1
Draw
2
1899
Oct 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
May 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1899 Hoffenheim4–0
Jan 20261899 Hoffenheim – Borussia Mönchengladbach5–1
May 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach – 1899 Hoffenheim4–4
Dec 20241899 Hoffenheim – Borussia Mönchengladbach1–2
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Borussia Mönchengladbach 36%, the draw 20%, 1899 Hoffenheim 43%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (1.98 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2.16 for 1899 Hoffenheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th on 4 points; 1899 Hoffenheim are 12th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.