Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund
13th · 6 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Real Betis
5th · 9 pts42% Borussia
23% Draw
36% Real
OUR PICK
Borussia Dortmund to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.64
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.40X4.4422.79
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.49NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.49
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Borussia DortmundReal Betis1.7Goals per game2.3
1.3Conceded per game1.3
2.00Points per game3.00
67%Win rate100%
1Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)9
Borussia Dortmund form
DWWWDA Bayern München2–2
H Werder Bremen3–2
H Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
A Sabah FA1–2
A Union Berlin0–0
Real Betis form
WDWLWH Malaga2–1
A Celta Vigo0–0
H Feyenoord1–0
H Barcelona2–5
H FC Porto3–2
Head to head
0
Borussia
0
Draw
0
Real
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Borussia Dortmund 42%, the draw 23%, Real Betis 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.78 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.64 for Real Betis), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Borussia Dortmund sit 13th on 6 points; Real Betis are 5th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.