Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Signal Iduna Park
Borussia Dortmund
2nd · 18 pts1–0FULL TIME
Eintracht Frankfurt
8th · 11 pts68% Borussia
17% Draw
15% Eintracht
OUR PICK
Borussia Dortmund to win
Model probability 68% · fair odds
1.46
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.10
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.46X5.8626.88
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt1.8Goals per game1.6
0.8Conceded per game2.3
2.25Points per game1.38
63%Win rate38%
8Goal difference-5
9Form, last 5 (pts)7
Borussia Dortmund form
DWWWDA Bayern München2–2
H Werder Bremen3–2
H Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
A Sabah FA1–2
A Union Berlin0–0
Eintracht Frankfurt form
WWLWLH Hamburger SV3–1
A Hamburger SV1–3
A Borussia Dortmund1–0
H 1. FC Köln1–0
A RB Leipzig6–0
Head to head
2
Borussia
2
Draw
1
Eintracht
Oct 2026Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt1–0
May 2026Borussia Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
Jan 2026Eintracht Frankfurt – Borussia Dortmund3–3
Oct 2025Eintracht Frankfurt – Borussia Dortmund1–1
Jan 2025Eintracht Frankfurt – Borussia Dortmund2–0
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8Eintracht Frankfurt8-511
9FSV Mainz 058010
10FC Augsburg8+39
Match preview
Our model makes Borussia Dortmund clear favourites, giving them a 68% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.54 for Borussia Dortmund, 1.10 for Eintracht Frankfurt), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd on 18 points; Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.