Over 1.5 goals@1.29
Over 1.5
78%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton
19th · 14 pts2–3FULL TIME
Bristol City
14th · 18 pts38% Bolton
25% Draw
37% Bristol
OUR PICK
Bolton to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.61
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.40
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.61X3.9922.74
Goals 2.5Over1.85Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.85
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
57%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
BoltonBristol City1.4Goals per game1.2
2.0Conceded per game1.3
1.08Points per game1.38
31%Win rate38%
-8Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)5
Bolton form
No recent matches.
Bristol City form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Bolton
0
Draw
0
Bristol
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bolton 38%, the draw 25%, Bristol City 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.44 for Bolton, 1.40 for Bristol City), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bolton sit 19th on 14 points; Bristol City are 14th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.