Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
ITASerie A · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna
8th · 14 pts2–1FULL TIME
Monza
16th · 7 pts56% Bologna
21% Draw
24% Monza
OUR PICK
Bologna to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.36
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X4.8624.21
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.52NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.52
GG
66%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
BolognaMonza1.4Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game2.4
1.40Points per game0.70
40%Win rate20%
1Goal difference-7
12Form, last 5 (pts)3
Bologna form
No recent matches.
Monza form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Bologna
0
Draw
0
Monza
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio9+1525
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4AC Milan10+921
5Como9+920
6Frosinone9+817
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino9013
Match preview
Our model makes Bologna clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.16 for Bologna, 1.36 for Monza), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bologna sit 8th on 14 points; Monza are 16th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.