Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
ITASerie A · Matchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna
8th · 14 pts1–3FULL TIME
Inter
2nd · 25 pts35% Bologna
24% Draw
41% Inter
OUR PICK
Inter to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.82X4.1822.46
Goals 2.5Over1.68Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.68
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
BolognaInter1.4Goals per game2.6
1.3Conceded per game1.3
1.40Points per game2.50
40%Win rate80%
1Goal difference13
12Form, last 5 (pts)12
Bologna form
WWWLWH Monza2–1
A AC Milan2–4
A Cagliari0–2
H Inter1–3
A Lecce1–2
Inter form
LWWWWA AC Milan3–1
A Venezia0–2
H Fiorentina2–1
H Shakhtar Donetsk1–0
A Bologna1–3
Head to head
1
Bologna
2
Draw
2
Inter
Oct 2026Bologna – Inter1–3
May 2026Bologna – Inter3–3
Jan 2026Inter – Bologna3–1
Dec 2025Bologna – Inter1–1
Apr 2025Bologna – Inter1–0
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lazio10+1628
2Inter10+1325
3AS Roma10+1824
4Como10+1023
5AC Milan10+921
6Frosinone10+1020
7Napoli9+614
8Bologna10+114
9Juventus9+114
10Torino10-213
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bologna 35%, the draw 24%, Inter 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.48 for Bologna, 1.60 for Inter), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bologna sit 8th on 14 points; Inter are 2nd on 25.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.