Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 6Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Dolicek Stadium
Bohemians 1905
10th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts32% Bohemians
27% Draw
42% Mlada
OUR PICK
Mlada Boleslav to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.39
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.38
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.17X3.7622.39
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.87
Both scoreGG1.95NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.87
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.95
GG
51%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Bohemians 1905Mlada Boleslav1.1Goals per game1.7
1.1Conceded per game1.2
1.42Points per game1.85
33%Win rate54%
0Goal difference7
8Form, last 5 (pts)7
Bohemians 1905 form
DLDWWH Sparta Praha0–0
A Mlada Boleslav3–2
A Zbrojovka Brno2–2
H Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Baník Ostrava1–0
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
1
Bohemians
3
Draw
1
Mlada
Oct 2026Mlada Boleslav – Bohemians 19053–2
Oct 2026Bohemians 1905 – Mlada Boleslav1–0
Jan 2026Mlada Boleslav – Bohemians 19052–2
Nov 2025Bohemians 1905 – Mlada Boleslav0–0
Oct 2025Bohemians 1905 – Mlada Boleslav1–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Mlada Boleslav slight favourites, giving them a 42% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.39 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.16 for Bohemians 1905, 1.38 for Mlada Boleslav), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bohemians 1905 sit 10th on 17 points; Mlada Boleslav are 2nd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.