Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Dolicek Stadium
Bohemians 1905
10th · 17 pts1–0FULL TIME
Baník Ostrava
13th · 11 pts62% Bohemians
24% Draw
15% Baník
OUR PICK
Bohemians 1905 to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.62
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.67
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.62X4.2226.88
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.36NG1.66
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.66
NG
60%
Double chance@1.17
1X
85%
Season stats
Bohemians 1905Baník Ostrava1.1Goals per game0.6
1.1Conceded per game1.8
1.42Points per game0.92
33%Win rate25%
0Goal difference-15
8Form, last 5 (pts)2
Bohemians 1905 form
DLDWWH Sparta Praha0–0
A Mlada Boleslav3–2
A Zbrojovka Brno2–2
H Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Baník Ostrava1–0
Baník Ostrava form
LWDLH Plzen0–4
A Sparta Praha0–2
H Sparta Praha0–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
4
Bohemians
0
Draw
1
Baník
Oct 2026Bohemians 1905 – Baník Ostrava1–0
Apr 2026Baník Ostrava – Bohemians 19050–2
Jul 2025Bohemians 1905 – Baník Ostrava1–0
Apr 2025Baník Ostrava – Bohemians 19051–0
Jul 2024Bohemians 1905 – Baník Ostrava2–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Bohemians 1905 clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.62 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.68 for Bohemians 1905, 0.67 for Baník Ostrava), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bohemians 1905 sit 10th on 17 points; Baník Ostrava are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.