Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
2nd · 59 pts0–1FULL TIME
Valerenga
8th · 32 pts79% Bodo/Glimt
12% Draw
8% Valerenga
OUR PICK
Bodo/Glimt to win
Model probability 79% · fair odds
1.26
Expected goals
3.11 – 0.97
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.26X8.08211.81
Goals 2.5Over1.30Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.30
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.09
1X
92%
Season stats
Bodo/GlimtValerenga2.4Goals per game1.7
0.9Conceded per game1.8
2.36Points per game1.28
76%Win rate36%
38Goal difference-3
9Form, last 5 (pts)10
Bodo/Glimt form
WLLWWH Viking3–2
H Valerenga0–1
A Napoli4–3
A Ham-Kam0–2
H Borussia Dortmund1–0
Valerenga form
WLWWLH Tromso4–0
A Sarpsborg 08 FF3–2
A Bodo/Glimt0–1
H Brann3–1
A KFUM Oslo2–1
Head to head
3
Bodo/Glimt
0
Draw
2
Valerenga
Oct 2026Bodo/Glimt – Valerenga0–1
Aug 2026Valerenga – Bodo/Glimt1–2
Nov 2025Valerenga – Bodo/Glimt3–1
Jul 2025Bodo/Glimt – Valerenga7–2
Sept 2023Valerenga – Bodo/Glimt2–4
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Bodo/Glimt clear favourites, giving them a 79% chance of winning against 12% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (3.11 for Bodo/Glimt, 0.97 for Valerenga), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bodo/Glimt sit 2nd on 59 points; Valerenga are 8th on 32.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.