Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
NOREliteserien · Matchday 23Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
2nd · 59 pts3–1FULL TIME
Kristiansund BK
15th · 23 pts84% Bodo/Glimt
11% Draw
5% Kristiansund
OUR PICK
Bodo/Glimt to win
Model probability 84% · fair odds
1.19
Expected goals
3.08 – 0.69
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.19X9.38218.60
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.06
1X
95%
Season stats
Bodo/GlimtKristiansund BK2.4Goals per game1.2
0.9Conceded per game2.0
2.36Points per game0.92
76%Win rate24%
38Goal difference-22
9Form, last 5 (pts)4
Bodo/Glimt form
WLLWWH Viking3–2
H Valerenga0–1
A Napoli4–3
A Ham-Kam0–2
H Borussia Dortmund1–0
Kristiansund BK form
WLDLLA Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
H Aalesund0–2
H KFUM Oslo2–2
H Aalesund1–4
A Bodo/Glimt3–1
Head to head
0
Bodo/Glimt
0
Draw
0
Kristiansund
These sides haven't met recently.
Eliteserien table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Viking25+3859
2Bodo/Glimt25+3859
3Molde25+2043
4Rosenborg25+1843
5Lillestrom25+342
6Tromso25+540
7Brann25+332
8Valerenga25-332
9Sarpsborg 08 FF25-731
10KFUM Oslo25-931
Match preview
Our model makes Bodo/Glimt clear favourites, giving them a 84% chance of winning against 11% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (3.08 for Bodo/Glimt, 0.69 for Kristiansund BK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bodo/Glimt sit 2nd on 59 points; Kristiansund BK are 15th on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.