Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
56%
ARGLiga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 15Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Alberto J. Armando
Boca Juniors
2nd · 30 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
River Plate
45% Boca
31% Draw
24% River
OUR PICK
Boca Juniors to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.20
Expected goals
1.15 – 0.74
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.20X3.2324.23
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.56
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.56
NG
64%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Boca Juniors form
WWWLDA Independiente0–1
A Vasco DA Gama1–3
H Talleres Cordoba2–1
H Vasco DA Gama0–1
A Instituto Cordoba2–2
River Plate form
WWDWLH Racing Club1–0
A Belgrano Cordoba0–3
A Sarmiento Junin1–1
H Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1–0
H Huracan1–2
Head to head
3
Boca
0
Draw
2
River
Apr 2026River Plate – Boca Juniors0–1
Nov 2025Boca Juniors – River Plate2–0
Apr 2025River Plate – Boca Juniors2–1
Sept 2024Boca Juniors – River Plate0–1
Apr 2024River Plate – Boca Juniors2–3
Liga Profesional Argentina table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.16+1231
2Boca Juniors16+1330
3Velez Sarsfield16+628
4Talleres Cordoba16+426
5Independiente16+424
6Lanus16+324
7San Lorenzo16022
8Union Santa Fe16+421
9Instituto Cordoba16021
10Defensa Y Justicia16-319
Match preview
Our model makes Boca Juniors slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.20 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.15 for Boca Juniors, 0.74 for River Plate), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.