Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 13Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Bloomfield Road
Blackpool
19th · 12 pts1–4FULL TIME
Mansfield Town
12th · 18 pts46% Blackpool
23% Draw
31% Mansfield
OUR PICK
Blackpool to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.18
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.38
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.18X4.2723.25
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.31
12
77%
Season stats
BlackpoolMansfield Town1.4Goals per game1.7
1.8Conceded per game1.5
1.00Points per game1.50
25%Win rate42%
-4Goal difference2
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Blackpool form
DWLWLA Sheffield Wednesday1–1
H Aston Villa U213–2
H Mansfield Town1–4
H Milton Keynes Dons2–0
A Leyton Orient2–0
Mansfield Town form
LWWDWH Notts County0–2
A Blackpool1–4
A AFC Wimbledon0–3
H Oxford United1–1
H Bromley2–1
Head to head
1
Blackpool
1
Draw
3
Mansfield
Oct 2026Blackpool – Mansfield Town1–4
Feb 2026Blackpool – Mansfield Town1–0
Aug 2025Mansfield Town – Blackpool2–0
Feb 2025Blackpool – Mansfield Town3–3
Oct 2024Mansfield Town – Blackpool2–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Blackpool slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.18 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.73 for Blackpool, 1.38 for Mansfield Town), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Blackpool sit 19th on 12 points; Mansfield Town are 12th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.