Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
76%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Nordic Wellness Arena
BK Hacken
4th · 49 pts4–0FULL TIME
Degerfors IF
14th · 20 pts69% BK
19% Draw
11% Degerfors
OUR PICK
BK Hacken to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.44
Expected goals
2.06 – 0.69
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.44X5.1828.80
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.97
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.93
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.77
NG
57%
Double chance@1.13
1X
89%
Season stats
BK HackenDegerfors IF1.8Goals per game0.8
1.1Conceded per game1.7
1.81Points per game0.74
48%Win rate19%
18Goal difference-24
13Form, last 5 (pts)1
BK Hacken form
WDWWWH IFK Goteborg1–0
A IF Brommapojkarna0–0
H Degerfors IF4–0
A Malmo FF0–1
H Orgryte IS3–0
Degerfors IF form
LLLLDA Djurgardens IF2–1
H Vasteras SK FK0–3
A BK Hacken4–0
H Kalmar FF1–2
A Mjallby AIF1–1
Head to head
1
BK
2
Draw
2
Degerfors
Oct 2026BK Hacken – Degerfors IF4–0
May 2026Degerfors IF – BK Hacken1–1
Aug 2025Degerfors IF – BK Hacken0–0
Apr 2025BK Hacken – Degerfors IF3–4
Sept 2023Degerfors IF – BK Hacken1–0
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm27-438
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais27+737
Match preview
Our model makes BK Hacken clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.44 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (2.06 for BK Hacken, 0.69 for Degerfors IF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
BK Hacken sit 4th on 49 points; Degerfors IF are 14th on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.