Over 1.5 goals@1.12
Over 1.5
89%
NOR1. Division · Semi-finalsSaturday, 7 November 2026 · Stavollen kunstgress
Bjarg
14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kjelsås
48% Bjarg
21% Draw
31% Kjelsås
OUR PICK
Bjarg to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.70
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X4.8123.20
Goals 2.5Over1.36Under3.63
Both scoreGG1.39NG3.37
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Over 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.39
GG
72%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Bjarg form
DWWWWA Sandviken0–0
H jerv4–0
A Brattvåg1–4
H Notodden5–2
A Kvik Halden2–3
Kjelsås form
WWWWWA Hønefoss1–2
H Trygg/Lade5–0
A Lørenskog2–3
H Rana2–0
A Ull/Kisa1–2
Head to head
0
Bjarg
0
Draw
0
Kjelsås
These sides haven't met recently.
1. Division table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Haugesund28+3462
2Stromsgodset28+4260
3Kongsvinger28+3759
4Stabaek28+3255
5ODD Ballklubb28+1145
6Ranheim29+441
7Bryne28-140
8hodd28-738
9Strommen28-1036
10Egersund28-1135
Match preview
Our model makes Bjarg slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.13 for Bjarg, 1.70 for Kjelsås), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.