Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stavollen kunstgress
Bjarg
2nd · 54 pts4–0FULL TIME
jerv
1st · 59 pts39% Bjarg
23% Draw
38% jerv
OUR PICK
Bjarg to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.60
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X4.3022.67
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Bjargjerv2.3Goals per game2.3
1.2Conceded per game1.2
2.08Points per game2.27
65%Win rate69%
29Goal difference30
13Form, last 5 (pts)8
Bjarg form
DWWWWA Sandviken0–0
H jerv4–0
A Brattvåg1–4
H Notodden5–2
A Kvik Halden2–3
jerv form
WLWDDH Eik-Tønsberg7–0
A Bjarg4–0
H Sotra4–3
H Arendal2–2
A Lysekloster3–3
Head to head
1
Bjarg
0
Draw
1
jerv
Oct 2026Bjarg – jerv4–0
May 2026jerv – Bjarg3–1
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Bjarg 39%, the draw 23%, jerv 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.64 for Bjarg, 1.60 for jerv), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bjarg sit 2nd on 54 points; jerv are 1st on 59.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.