Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 8Sunday, 25 October 2026
Bibiani Gold Stars
12th · 10 pts2–1FULL TIME
Heart of Lions
15th · 8 pts44% Bibiani
28% Draw
28% Heart
OUR PICK
Bibiani Gold Stars to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
1.27 – 0.95
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.29X3.5123.60
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.62
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.79
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.79
NG
56%
Double chance@1.38
1X
72%
Season stats
Bibiani Gold StarsHeart of Lions1.0Goals per game1.0
1.1Conceded per game1.5
1.25Points per game1.00
38%Win rate25%
-1Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Bibiani Gold Stars form
LWLWDA Samartex1–0
H Heart of Lions2–1
A Debibi United1–0
H Basake Holy Stars2–0
A Vision0–0
Heart of Lions form
DLLLWH Bechem United0–0
A Bibiani Gold Stars2–1
H Berekum Chelsea0–2
A Medeama3–1
H Ashanti Gold3–2
Head to head
4
Bibiani
1
Draw
0
Heart
Oct 2026Bibiani Gold Stars – Heart of Lions2–1
Feb 2026Heart of Lions – Bibiani Gold Stars1–2
Oct 2025Bibiani Gold Stars – Heart of Lions3–1
Apr 2025Bibiani Gold Stars – Heart of Lions2–1
Sept 2024Heart of Lions – Bibiani Gold Stars0–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama8+717
2Hearts of Oak8+717
3Port City9+415
4Samartex8+415
5Swedru All Blacks8+314
6Bechem United8+213
7Aduana Stars8+213
8Basake Holy Stars8-312
9Asante Kotoko8012
10Berekum Chelsea8+111
Match preview
Our model makes Bibiani Gold Stars slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.27 for Bibiani Gold Stars, 0.95 for Heart of Lions), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Bibiani Gold Stars sit 12th on 10 points; Heart of Lions are 15th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.